Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021681 0.023293 0.024973 0.026854 0.028905 0.031076 0.033549
2024-10-20 0.018608 0.020872 0.023353 0.026279 0.029649 0.033419 0.037973
2024-10-27 0.016994 0.019693 0.022767 0.026543 0.031081 0.036388 0.043108
2024-11-03 0.015671 0.018639 0.022125 0.026550 0.032057 0.038739 0.047543
2024-11-10 0.014783 0.017981 0.021839 0.026876 0.033344 0.041453 0.052525
2024-11-17 0.013760 0.017055 0.021120 0.026559 0.033731 0.042982 0.056012
2024-11-24 0.012972 0.016354 0.020614 0.026440 0.034313 0.044740 0.059863
2024-12-01 0.012187 0.015598 0.019973 0.026077 0.034509 0.045945 0.062983
2024-12-08 0.011653 0.015132 0.019672 0.026129 0.035242 0.047895 0.067250
2024-12-15 0.011030 0.014506 0.019114 0.025780 0.035370 0.048971 0.070279
2024-12-22 0.010410 0.013850 0.018474 0.025270 0.035219 0.049607 0.072657
2024-12-29 0.009937 0.013370 0.018050 0.025032 0.035434 0.050770 0.075892
2025-01-05 0.009485 0.012903 0.017623 0.024773 0.035609 0.051892 0.079165
2025-01-12 0.008974 0.012328 0.017016 0.024215 0.035294 0.052235 0.081192
2025-01-19 0.008737 0.012134 0.016945 0.024446 0.036192 0.054509 0.086549
2025-01-26 0.008452 0.011855 0.016736 0.024450 0.036727 0.056223 0.091072
2025-02-02 0.008267 0.011714 0.016721 0.024746 0.037733 0.058750 0.097178
2025-02-09 0.007939 0.011346 0.016346 0.024458 0.037771 0.059666 0.100479
2025-02-16 0.007679 0.011068 0.016095 0.024350 0.038092 0.061067 0.104748
2025-02-23 0.007379 0.010719 0.015719 0.024021 0.038020 0.061778 0.107778
2025-03-02 0.007188 0.010528 0.015580 0.024068 0.038584 0.063624 0.113079
2025-03-09 0.006923 0.010212 0.015231 0.023751 0.038500 0.064306 0.116174
2025-03-16 0.006639 0.009856 0.014806 0.023288 0.038134 0.064453 0.118209